Friday, September 21, 2007

Let's Try this Again

Well so far this year in College Football we have had many compelling stories from Appalachian State's huge UPSET of Michigan, Notre Dame not being able to muster up an offensive touchdown, and the always amazing SEC and the many great teams of their conference.

This Particular Post I want to Focus on Three Main subjects: the first one being the rise of the Sun Belt Conference, 2ndly the state of Texas A&M football and the Big 12, and lastly my picks for the week.

To me the Sunbelt conference, it may still be the worst conference in the Football Bowl Subdivision formally the Division 1A. However with Troy wiping the floor with Oklahoma State, Florida Atlantic putting up 42 on Minnesota and winning, Arkansas State scoring 45 on SMU. Not to mention you could also throw in Florida International barely losing to Miami last week and Middle Tennessee State putting up -42 on Louisville. I also think that UNT will make a run this year and possibly beat
Navy in Week 10. By the end of this year they might pull themselves from out of the cellar of the Football Bowl Subdivision. The Sunbelt conference has a chance this weekend to make some more ground when Arkansas State, arguably the best team in the Conference goes to Tennessee, and Florida International goes to Kansas, potential upset.

The state of the Big 12. I do have to disclose I am an Aggie, however I can't seem them beating out Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and Texas right now after their defense got pounded by Miami. I'll first talk about A&M then go onto a Big 12 tangent. Last night from what I saw, I was very Discouraged by All sides of the ball, but most importantly I'm saying it right now, Coach Fran has to win 10 games this year or he is getting canned. What the hell was he thinking for only giving Jovorskie Lane the ball twice. Fran the best way for your Run Dominated team to win is run the ball down the other team's throat. Jovorskie Should have gotten the ball between 20-30 times, Stephen Mcgee should run it between 10-15 times, and Mike Goodson should have gotten it between 15-20. The Aggies pass offense is not as developed as the Run. for Coach Fran to keep his job he has to deliver three of the five big games left Nebraska, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas Tech and Texas. Victories over Baylor, OK State, and Kansas are without asking. One final note for Texas A&M football is simply that until they get rid of Fran I don't see A&M going to the next level and also A&M needs to play better competition in the Non Conference. Maybe rekindle the rivalry with LSU, Rice, TCU, or maybe even any team from a BCS conference that is really decent team.

The Big 12 is deep trouble this year. I see only one team that is good enough to National Title Worthy and that is Oklahoma and I'm curious to see how Oklahoma does against Tulsa tonight, arguably their best competition this year and it is their first away game. It's easy pounding defenseless Utah State and University of North Texas. Tulsa is 2-0 with a hard fought win against Brigham Young last week.

Texas could just as easily be 0-3 as they are 3-0. Arkansas State had I believe 7 possessions inside Texas's 20 yard line with only 13 points to boot, TCU was dominating them then fell apart in the 2nd half, and take away that terrible call by the Refs when the clock was down to double 00 four two real time seconds on a critical four down play early in the 1st quarter and no call. Central Florida played amazing and is a sleeper team this year for C-USA.

Baylor is just Baylor with a win over the perennial Football Championship Subdivision power Texas State by only 1 touchdown and then throw in their amazing performance over a not so powerful Rice team. They Play at Buffalo tomorrow and I believe they will be beaten and you can call it an Upset.

Texas Tech as always has an amazing offense and their defense is also good, however one of Texas Tech's biggest problems is they have yet to get Big wins in the same year against both Texas and Oklahoma. Oklahoma State might give them some problems this week, but expect Tech to score betwen 38-49 points and win a close one. Maybe Tech can blow them out but I see a close one.

Oklahoma State at 1-2 has been a huge disappointment this year at 1-2 with two terrible loses to Georgia and Troy. They play Texas Tech this weekend and they will have to rely on their Offense to keep them Going against a Texas Tech team that always has a potent offense. If OK State's Defense can stop Texas Tech's offense they might have a chance, but not very likely. OK State still has a lot to prove.

Missouri has to have a great year this year. Chase Daniel I believe is a Junior and he is a great quarterback, they also have Tony Temple at running back who can contribute a lot. If they beat Nebraska at home, they win the North for the first time.

Nebraska had their chance to prove themselves against USC last week, and they squandered that opportunity. Nebraska can still win the North if they defeat Missouri on the Road. Be wary of Texas A&M when they come into Lincoln, ESPN radio Host Colin Cowherd named it as one of his Upset Specials of the year.

Kansas has gotten better, but I cannot see them making up any ground out all this year. Wait to see progress before I see them moving up in the North.

Kansas State has gotten better and that win against Texas where they Rampage Jacksoned Colt Mccoy. I see them finishing third behind Missouri and Nebraska in the North, will also wait to see what happens.

Colorado is improving with Coach Dan Hawkins with them playing well against Florida State last week with their tough defense and don't forget last year's big win over Texas Tech. Their Quarterback Cody Hawkins is 60-1 as a starting quarterback. expect a four win season out of Colorado nothing more.

Finally Iowa State, Now this is where it gets fun. I really don't know which Iowa State team will show up. The team that lost two straight to Kent State and Football Championship Subdivision Top 10 team Northern Iowa, or the team that went out last week and defeated cross state rival Iowa on 5 Field Goals. They could be 7 win team but their inconsistency will be their downfall expect wins maybe against Colorado or potentially Kansas.

Whew that was alot finally I give ya'll 10 picks with and a few upset specials thrown in their.
Disclosure I do not condone Gambling on these games and but I will mention the spreads. --- are my picks to win straight up.

#12 South Carolina at ---#2 LSU -18. South Carolina is Overrated in my opinion LSU wins and beats the spread.

East Carolina at ---#5 West Virginia -24. East Carolina has given trouble to Virginia Tech and has beaten North Carolina. West Virginia will win but will not beat the spread.

---Temple at Bowling Green -21. To share a quick story I watched the tail end of the UCONN-Temple football game last week and a controversial call took away a touchdown for Temple on an amazing play that would have won them the game. Temple was a 30 point underdog and lost by 5. Temple is rapidly improving. UPSET SPECIAL TEMPLE Over Bowling Green.

-3 ---Illinois at Indiana. Illinois is a rapidly improving team and I think will get a bowl bid this year in the Big 10 possibly a sleeper, don't discount Indiana who will be moving up in the Big 10, Illinois ties spread or beats it.

Duke at --- Navy -14. Duke has not done well vs. Navy normally and I feel Navy will win, but possibly Duke showing some more life last week after beating Northwestern, Duke beats Spread.

---Air Force at BYU -12. Wow Air Force over BYU, Air Force defeated TCU last week, If they can slow down BYU's amazing offense look out UPSET SPECIAL.

#3 --- Oklahoma -24 at Tulsa. Tulsa will beat the spread as OU faces their first tough test on the road. Oklahoma prevails.

#10 --- Penn State -3 at Michigan. Expect Michigan to really want this one. However Penn State although not good I see winning and suspiciously small spread.

---Michigan State -11 1/2 at Notre Dame. I see Notre Dame not scoring a Offensive Touchdown this game and Michigan State rolls big time.

---Arkansas State at Tennessee -25. UPSET SPECIAL Tennessee has been disappointing this year and Arkansas State has done well on the road vs Texas.

One more for fun

#21 ---Kentucky at Arkansas -7 look for Arkansas to be wanting some blood after barely losing to Alabama, Kentucky beats spread, but Arkansas wins.

Sorry for such a long first blog but the next one will be shorter. Thanks Gig Em and God Bless,

The Unassailable One Aaron M.

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